Hybrid AI–Mathematical Modeling for Early Flood Forecasting in the Nhật Lệ River Basin, Quảng Bình

Introduction

This project is one of 13 internationally funded proposals under the Mathematics for Humanity initiative by the International Centre for Mathematical Sciences (ICMS), Edinburgh, UK. It brings together Vietnamese experts in mathematics, computer science, and hydrology to co-develop a novel hybrid flood prediction system for the Nhật Lệ River Basin. By integrating physics-based equations with AI algorithms and large-scale environmental datasets, the project contributes to risk reduction and real-time early flood warning systems for disaster-prone regions in Vietnam.

Time

  • Completed (Sep – Nov 2024 at ICMS, Edinburgh)
  • Ongoing collaboration for expanded research in 2025–2026

Project Facts

  • Duration Sep – Nov 2024 (Phase 1 at ICMS, UK)
  • Funding source International Centre for Mathematical Sciences (ICMS), UK
  • Principal investigator Assoc. Prof. Dr. Nguyen Ngoc Doanh
  • Field sites Nhật Lệ River Basin, Quảng Bình Province, Vietnam

Objectives

  • Combine mathematical models and AI techniques to improve flood forecasting accuracy
  • Enhance flood early-warning systems using high-performance computing and automation
  • Address mathematical challenges linked to climate resilience and disaster mitigation in Southeast Asia
  • Propose a scalable modeling framework applicable to other river basins in Vietnam and beyond

Focus areas

  • Hybrid Modeling Techniques: Merge partial differential equations (PDEs) with deep learning frameworks to capture river basin dynamics.
  • AI for Disaster Forecasting: Utilize neural networks and big data pipelines for short- and mid-term flood prediction.
  • Case Study – Nhật Lệ River Basin: Simulate flood events from 2010, 2020, and 2024 to validate model reliability under climate-induced extremes.
  • Global Collaboration in Mathematical Sciences: Participate in ICMS’s Mathematics for Humanity program under the theme “Mathematical Challenges for Humanity.”

Methodology

  • Model Coupling: Integrate numerical hydrological simulations with AI-based predictive analytics for dynamic warning generation.
  • Data Pipeline Design: Incorporate new high-frequency field data, including rainfall, flow rates, and soil saturation levels.
  • Collaborative Development: Conduct joint research sessions at ICMS, with cross-institutional peer review and scenario modeling.

Results

  • Deployed and tested via mobile application for local communities in Quảng Bình.
  • One conference paper accepted at CSoNet 2024 (Dec 2024, Bangkok); two manuscripts in preparation.
  • Expanded research networks with Heriot-Watt University, Télécom Paris, Tohoku University, Kyoto University, and Kyushu University.
  • Broaden project scope to cover pre-flood (mitigation/preparation), during-flood (logistics/communication), and post-flood (environment/health) phases.
  • Embed forecasting results into a mobile app: FloodGuard Quảng Bình

Partners & stakeholders

  • Lead Institution: VinUniversity (Vietnam)
  • Core Researchers:
    • Assoc. Prof. Dr. Nguyễn Ngọc Doanh (VinUni) – Project Lead
    • Prof. Dr. Nguyễn Trung Việt, Dr. Đinh Nhật Quang, and PhD candidate Nguyễn Văn Lực (Thuyloi University)
    • Dr. Huỳnh Quang Nghi (Can Tho University)
    • Prof. Dr. Dương Quang Trung (Queen’s University Belfast, UK)
  • Funding & Host: International Centre for Mathematical Sciences (ICMS), UK
  • Scientific Collaborators: Heriot-Watt University (UK), Télécom Paris (France), Tohoku University & Kyoto University & Kyushu University (Japan), VIASM (Vietnam Institute for Advanced Study in Mathematics)

Reference

https://apps.apple.com/vn/app/floodguard-quang-binh/id6502816823

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